Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 2068.272340 2256.086144 2448.164067 2659.007680 2883.656524 3115.569595 3372.787996
2024-10-06 1801.268635 2081.415636 2380.390975 2722.070146 3100.579294 3505.893937 3971.549123
2024-10-13 1601.632907 1933.555841 2299.298580 2729.854003 3220.400123 3759.462967 4394.126670
2024-10-20 1450.300951 1817.521752 2233.250024 2734.865130 3319.669679 3975.892632 4763.721982
2024-10-27 1275.173361 1656.439269 2099.326851 2646.224228 3297.549307 4042.532383 4952.858149
2024-11-03 1218.835211 1629.914585 2117.414173 2730.554400 3473.071104 4335.059184 5402.755454
2024-11-10 1153.911560 1586.594527 2109.905598 2779.551588 3603.212063 4572.592704 5788.335149
2024-11-17 1072.681419 1516.551772 2064.003682 2776.555962 3666.393017 4727.632062 6074.567029
2024-11-24 987.784133 1435.892177 1999.404009 2745.206380 3690.415264 4832.199716 6298.036676
2024-12-01 937.188578 1396.463730 1984.018497 2773.094350 3786.047076 5023.224944 6627.165667
2024-12-08 879.869039 1344.304749 1948.816636 2772.592368 3843.588420 5165.904302 6896.710417
2024-12-15 848.458186 1325.234839 1955.275041 2824.785148 3967.672840 5391.908752 7271.390139
2024-12-22 793.555945 1271.468807 1914.083459 2813.833396 4011.179561 5518.918241 7526.812972
2024-12-29 770.147842 1260.824005 1930.309036 2879.019796 4154.503958 5774.471225 7947.979211
2025-01-05 728.909938 1221.989726 1905.619981 2887.134193 4221.394940 5931.707088 8244.818345
2025-01-12 689.914034 1184.108240 1880.167775 2892.367255 4283.165962 6081.855003 8533.178814
2025-01-19 623.118876 1100.828408 1786.759736 2799.781008 4209.764188 6052.723412 8587.338738
2025-01-26 615.776259 1107.610538 1822.298205 2887.865334 4382.694464 6349.181132 9068.591643
2025-02-02 598.094489 1097.248257 1832.079482 2939.031549 4505.152715 6579.736952 9465.570615
2025-02-09 566.271990 1062.830409 1804.866905 2935.903564 4551.586995 6708.624402 9729.093356
2025-02-16 528.610444 1016.937036 1758.523791 2903.166859 4555.082861 6778.769793 9914.320536
2025-02-23 509.377644 1000.024251 1755.013708 2932.288963 4645.366180 6966.716827 10258.258395
2025-03-02 483.890121 971.314498 1732.177313 2931.764791 4692.853266 7096.251978 10524.434460